In terms of the price of Bitcoin, criminal charges on the popular cryptocurrency derivatives exchange BitMEX may be bearish, but the same isn’t true for the overall market.
“Assume the CFTC & DOJ bring Bitmex down. The absence of Bitmex may then result in US exchanges and OTC desks becoming markets of “significant size,” sharply increasing the odds of the SEC approving an ETF,” said trader and economist Alex Kruger.
These past few weeks, several attempts at a Bitcoin ETF have been made to no avail as every single one of them has been rejected by the agency over the grounds of manipulation.
But the crypt community hasn’t let go of the hope for approval eventually. An ETF holds so much importance for the community because it is expected to bring a large number of inflows in the market, as such, pushing the prices higher. “A parallel demand curve shift.”
An ETF would be the “opportunity of a lifetime” that would allow retail to front-turn the institutions for once. Former macro hedge fund manager and a Bitcoin proponent, Raoul Pal expect “every” pension plans and family offices to allocate some of their money to it — billions of dollars pouring into it.
A Cue from CFTC
Seychelles incorporated exchange is known for its 100x leverage, and according to Bill Barhydt, co-founder, and CEO of Abra, it has been the key reason we don’t have a US Bitcoin ETF.
“Their market is easily manipulated by large traders. Not a valid reason for no ETF imo. Just a fact,” he said.
Although it may not be sufficient for an ETF approval, it is a big step towards that, for sure.
Very true, though perhaps "necessary but not sufficient" for ETF approval.
I expect BitMEX is one of several similarly-situated ex-US exchanges with big BTC volume that the SEC would like to have brought into compliance (or taken out of the market) before it signs off on an ETF. https://t.co/Jm6IN9mU8r
— Jake Chervinsky (@jchervinsky) October 1, 2020
Adding to the expectation is the statement from Chairman Heath P. Tarbert, giving a hint of what’s to come, in which he said digital assets hold “great promise” not only for the derivatives markets but also the US economy.
“For the United States to be a global leader in this space, it is imperative that we root out illegal activity like that alleged in this case. New and innovative financial products can flourish only if there is market integrity. We can’t allow bad actors that break the law to gain an advantage over exchanges that are doing the right thing by complying with our rules,” Tarbert said.