Bitcoin in For Another Bull Cycle as BTC Supply Continues to Get Eaten Up Like Never Before
Over the weekend, the price of Bitcoin started rising and is currently trading above $11,650.
Interestingly, it has been three months, 93 days exactly, since Bitcoin was founded in 2009, that it has spent above the current price of $11.5k.
More importantly, it's the first time that bitcoin has been above $10,000 with realized volatility extremely low, as per Skew.
— CryptoYoda (@CryptoYoda1338) October 19, 2020
While trading in the green, the ‘real’ amount of the BTC traded in the past 24 hours has fallen drastically to just over $700 million.
This lack of volume could be on one side due to the lack of price action in the market and the weekend. On the other hand, the BTC balance on exchanges is on a constant decline. An analyst noted,
“More and more Bitcoin getting out from exchanges and most probably being transferred to non-custodial wallets. This suggests slightly lower liquidity and lower selling pressure going forward.”
According to Chain.info, in the past 24 hours, the biggest outflow of BTC has been recorded on OKEx of 6,269.
Last week, the exchange suspended all digital currency withdrawals after one of its key holders who has been helping the authorities in an investigation was unreachable.
Additionally, as per Coin Dormancy, a measure of “old hands selling out,” which usually sold the tops have been acting differently in the current cycle. “They sold the bitcoin bottom at $3-$4k, they are selling right now,” observed on-chain analyst Willy Woo.
Another Bull Cycle in the Making
While Bitcoin continues to move out of exchanges in favor of cold wallet storage, for the first time, public companies are gobbling up more and more BTC by making it part of their Treasury. Grayscale, yet again, for the third time in a row, had a record inflow in Bitcoin.
“SHORTAGES of Bitcoin possible. Barry's Grayscale trust is eating up BTC like there is no tomorrow. If 77% of all newly mined turns into 110%, it's lights out. Non-miner supply will get held off mkt in squeeze. Shorts will be dead. Price can go to any number.”
Overall, the market is bullish on digital assets, as Pantera Capital wrote in its last week’s investor letter; besides the network fundamentals, all the money printing the Federal Reserve and other central banks are doing works in bitcoin’s favor.
“We strongly believe we are in the early stages of a large bull market fueled by both a powerful global macro tide and growing fundamentals in the underlying technology.”
In its decade long life, Bitcoin has gone through three major prices already and seems to be primed for yet another one.
“My intuition from trading waves for 35 years is we’re in for another one,” wrote Dan Pantera, adding, “it’s still a massive hype cycle roller coaster.”