Gold Smashes Through a New All-Time High, Is It Time for Bitcoin Now?

Precious metal makes a new high in about a decade, not a bad thing for BTC. Bitcoin is likely to follow gold’s footsteps and see an increase in correlation with it after shattering its correlation with equities.

The precious metal didn't just break its all-time high but smashed through a new one.

Gold has been going up since around mid-March when its prices crashed to about $1,465 in a coronavirus induced sell-off along with the stocks and bitcoin.

The uptrend in bullion prices took force ten days back when it was around $1,790 only to make its way to the ATH $1,920, last hit in September 2011 today to rally to a new peak of $1,944.

“After adjusting for volatility or downside volatility, gold is hands down the best performing asset of 2020,” said trader and economist Alex Kruger.

While bullion continues to gain, the US dollar has extended its slump as investors look ahead to a Federal Reserve decision amid a rise in coronavirus outbreaks globally, fresh cases emerged from China to Spain. Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell is also expected to release a $1 trillion pandemic relief proposal on Monday.

The concern about the global economy and Fed’s open market committee meeting to reinforce a dovish outlook is driving precious metals and dollars in opposite directions.

“The July FOMC meeting should kick off a period from August into mid-September in which markets should price in an increasingly dovish, forward-looking Fed policy via lower real rates,” Morgan Stanley strategists wrote in a report. “This should benefit breakeven inflation rates, support risk assets, and weigh on the U.S. dollar.”

Rattled Investors by the latest US-China diplomatic feud is also driving yellow metal prices up while pushing stock prices down. Last week, the Trump administration told Beijing to close its consulate in Houston to which China responded with the closure of the US consulate in the southwestern city of Chengdu.

Weak stock prices “speak volumes of soured risk appetite amid escalating U.S.-China risks, worsening virus outbreaks, and a flagging recovery,” said Hayaki Narita of Mizuho Bank.

Gold has rallied 9.8% this month and has recorded 27.4% gains YTD. Digital gold meanwhile has jumped nearly 40% this year, so far, after finally breaking above $10,000 last week.

The Correlations

Gold hitting a new all-time high after nearly a decade “is certainly not a bad thing for BTC.” Bitcoin is setting up for a move that is likely to follow in gold’s footsteps.

The world’s leading digital currency is coiling into a multi-year triangle that doesn't “resolve with small moves,” but the same way with $15,000, then $24,000, says economist and trader Alex Kruger.

Bitcoin has already shattered its correlation with equities recently while shares catalyst with the precious metal in the form of pro-crypto Fed nominee Judy Shelton who wants to take the US back to the gold standard. This may even show up in daily correlations, said the trader.

This week, things could get even more interesting with a focus on whether Congress will pass a new trillion-dollar economic stimulus (like the EU just approved a $2T stimulus). The US Federal Reserve will also be having its meeting this week. However, the market expects to keep rates unchanged, chairman Jerome Powell’s comments on the future direction of the economy will come under the spotlight.

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AnTy
AnTy
AnTy has been involved in the crypto space full-time for over two years now. Before her blockchain beginnings, she worked with the NGO, Doctor Without Borders as a fundraiser and since then exploring, reading, and creating for different industry segments.

[Alert] Use the author's self-conducted information at your own risk, do you own research, never invest more than you are willing to lose.

[Disclosure] The published news and content on BitcoinExchangeGuide should never be used or taken as financial investment advice. Understand trading cryptocurrencies is a very high-risk activity which can result in significant losses. Editorial Policy \\ Investment Disclaimer

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